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On November 13-17, 2017, Geneva hosted the first meeting of the Group of Governmental Experts on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS). The international community becomes more and more concerned about the prospect of fighting robots to be used in war, as well as of the terrifying idea of a super...

During the election campaign, Donald Trump expressed interest in normalizing relations with Russia, so there are reasons to be cautiously optimistic today about the U.S.-Russian relationship and the wider international situation. Several important questions come to mind:

  • Will the new U.S. leader att...

According to scientists’ forecasts, technologies accumulated by the human race can radically transform warfare already during the next decade. Military robotics is gaining a critical mass to make a huge qualitative leap.

Vadim Kozyulin, Senior Researcher at the PIR Center, believes that nowadays the...

Until recently, Russia was almost the only major power trying to avoid any contacts with the radical movement of Taliban. Its contacts in Afghanistan were limited strictly to the legitimate government, and that position of Moscow seemed hard and fast. Late in 2015, however, Russian Special Envoy for...

The second round of the presidential elections in Afghanistan in June 2014 was a success, and the country now has Ashraf Ghani as the elected president. However, with the new president the struggle for power in Afghanistan remains far from being over as long as the Taliban exists and presents an exi...

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News

30.11.2019

"Today, the world is witnessing so-called 'Technological Predominance or Technological Dictatorship' process, which means that emerging technologies get introduced in a military sphere for modernization of existing and production of new arms. There is not a politician or a military man who would confirm that artificial intelligence (AI) is in charge of strategic decisions. Though people are currently dealing with weak AI, strong AI and even 'super-AI' are to be available in the not so distant future.” – Director of PIR Center’s Emerging Technologies and Global Security Project Vadim Kozyulin.

27.06.2019

“Autonomous systems are gradually displacing humans from the battlefield, and in many aspects, this can be a boon to the military, who are exposed to less risk. However, at the same time, humans transfer to artificial intelligence (AI) a part of their powers, and consequently a part of their responsibility. According to experts, neural networks will probably never learn to explain their decisions to humans. This can become a serious problem once AI is involved in such areas as intelligence, data analysis, communications and control, scenario development, and in the long run decision making.” – Director of PIR Center’s Emerging Technologies and Global Security Project Vadim Kozyulin.

22.04.2019

“The School lectures helped me to structure knowledge that I had already had, which will help me to feel more confident at the university seminars and debates. Certainly, I will apply some of the received knowledge while preparing my thesis work. I also got acquainted with a perfect method for ideas generating – foresight. I will surely use it again”, - Olesya Guseva, a student of the master's program "Strategic Studies" of St. Petersburg State University.

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Expert

Kozyulin, Vadim B. image
Name: Kozyulin, Vadim B.
City: Moscow
Affiliation: PIR Center
Position: Project Director, Project on Asian Security; Project Director, Emerging Technologies and Global Security Project
Expertise:
Central Asia
Illegal arms traffic
Small arms and light weapons
International initiatives on illegal arms traffic
Military-technical cooperation between Russia and other countries
Biography :

Candidate of Political Sciences, Professor of the Academy of Military Science. 1990 graduate of the Moscow State Institute for International Relations (MGIMO). Former officer of the Soviet/Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Dr. Kozyulin worked at Moscow News Review, later was a representative of the Republic State Enterprise "Kazspetsexport" in Russia. In 2000-2002 Dr. Kozyulin accomplished the Management of Military and Technical Cooperation Program in the Russian Academy for Foreign Trade and defended a thesis on Military Technical Cooperation as a Mechanism of Regional Stability in Central Asia. He maintains close contacts with CIS and foreign export companies. His research interests are Arms Trade Treaty, Russia's military and technical cooperation with foreign countries, stability in Central Asia and Afghanistan. PIR Center Research Fellow since 1994. PIR Center Asian Security Project Director and Emerging Technologies and Global Security Project Director since 2017. 06/17

Expert's commentaries

The future of Afghanistan and Central Asia depends to a very large extent on Washington’s plans for the region, and to a very small extent on the Taliban. Keeping track of the geopolitical thinking in the White House is all the more important because the United States is entering a period of depress...

Vadim Kozyulin

The author deals with the issue of curbing uncontrolled proliferation of small arms and light weapons. He analyzes the recent international initiatives, including those launched by the NGO sector, and gives a sceptical overview of their prospects. He suggests four scenarios for the Arms Trade Treaty...

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