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On September 17, 2015, the Center for Global Trends and International Organizations of the Diplomatic Academy of the Foreign Ministry of the Russian Federation with the participation of PIR Center experts holds a seminar “Outcomes of the 2015 NPT Rev...

Experts

  • Position : Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
  • Affiliation : Russian Foreign Ministry
  • Position : Founder & CEO
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
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Vladimir Orlov's Article on the 2015 NPT Review Conference Published in “Russia in Global Affairs”

22.10.2015

MOSCOW, OCTOBER 22, 2015. PIR PRESS – “I find Dr. Orlov's recent NPT article “The Glass Menagerie” particularly thoughtful. Let us work harder so that your assessment that the nuclear nonproliferation regime has taken a major turn for the worse, can be reversed” – Kim Won-soo, Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations, Acting High Representative for Disarmament Affairs.

The July-September issue of the Russia in Global Affairs journal carries an article “The Glass Menagerie of Non-Proliferation” by Vladimir Orlov, PIR Center founder and now Special Advisor, who is also the member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters, and the Director of the Center for Global Trends and International Organizations at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian MFA.

The article argues that “the international nuclear non-proliferation regime entered a new phase in May 2015” – when the draft final document of the 2015 NPT Review Conference was blocked. “The situation has worsened, and it will be more and more difficult and expensive to correct it. The cooling of international relations will make the NPT situation extremely fragile: one only needs to accidentally break one thing, and many others will also fall and break to pieces” – Dr. Orlov considers.

Being directly involved in the Review Conference, expert studies the course of the conference and its outcomes. Dr. Orlov poses several questions that diplomats and expert community are yet to answer.  “How will non-nuclear Japan, which is modernizing its armed forces, react to a growing North Korean nuclear arsenal? Will there emerge a line of nuclear tension between Japan, which is under the U.S. nuclear umbrella, and nuclear-weapon China, which is ready to multiply the number of its warheads at any moment?” – PIR Center Special Advisor asks. “Where is the boiling point after which Middle Eastern states will conclude that the 1995 decision is not implemented and that no one wants to implement it? This may mean they will have to take the initiative in their hands” – concludes Dr. Orlov.

The article has already received feedback from high-ranking diplomatic officials in Russia and globally. “I find Dr. Orlov's recent NPT article “The Glass Menagerie” particularly thoughtful. Let us work harder so that your assessment that the nuclear non-proliferation regime has taken a major turn for the worse, can be reversed” – wrote Kim Won-soo, Under-Secretary-General of the United Nations, Acting High Representative for Disarmament Affairs, in his letter.

The Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Sergey Ryabkov emphasized the lack of progress in the analysis of the current state of the nuclear nonproliferation regime. “Dr. Orlov’s article brilliantly covers this issue against the background of unsatisfactory nonproliferation and arms control research performance” – pointed the Deputy Minister at the seminar “The Outcomes of the 2015 NPT Review Conference And the Future of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime” held by the Center for Global Trends and International Organizations at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Foreign Ministry with the participation of PIR Center experts. The full text of the Sergey Ryabkov’s statement is available at PIR Center website (in Russian).

The article by Dr. Orlov was discussed at the above-mentioned seminar, attended by diplomats from France, Kazakhstan, Romania, and Switzerland, as well as the representatives of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, the Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute for Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the National Research Nuclear University, the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, the Kennan Institute and the Carnegie Moscow Center.

On June 18, 2015, the PIR Center, the Centre russe d'études politiques and the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR) held a joint seminar on “Nuclear Nonproliferation And Disarmament: Where To After The 2015 NPT Review Conference?” in Geneva.

Please direct questions relating to the project to PIR Center “Russia and Nuclear Nonproliferation” Program Director Andrey Baklitskiy by phone +7 (495) 987 19 15 or via email baklitsky at pircenter.org


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