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Vladimir Orlov on US-Russian relations on the eve of Geneva Prepcom

20.04.2018

MOSCOW, APRIL 20, 2018. PIR PRESS – “The window of opportunity regarding US-Russian dialogue is closing very quickly. I do not accept the argument that that the transition period in Washington is taking longer than usual, and the real game will start soon. Nor do I think that just separating the nuclear nonproliferation agenda issues from the broader context of security agenda could help. This will just mislead all of us,” – Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Founder and Special Advisor, PIR Center.

On the eve of the Second session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons in Geneva, which will be held on April 23 – May 4, PIR Center’s Founder and Special Advisor, Professor of MGIMO University, Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov published a commentary in his blog on the current relations between Russia and the United States.

Vladimir Orlov pointed out existing problems between two countries in the field of arms control and nonproliferation, adding that today we do not speak about a big chance of making progress but only about preserving what we have. Special attention was drawn to the necessity of keeping JCPOA and the New START and INF Treaties.

Dr. Orlov sees the chances for successful dialogue between Russia and the United States as quite insignificant: “The window of opportunity regarding US-Russian dialogue is closing very quickly. I do not accept the argument that that the transition period in Washington is taking longer than usual, and the real game will start soon. Nor do I think that just separating the nuclear nonproliferation agenda issues from the broader context of security agenda could help. This will just mislead all of us.”

According to the author, the legacy of the current problems will be left on the future generation who will have to resolve them and rebuild trust between the nations: “What we should do even more actively than before is to pass that institutional knowledge and memory to younger generation. No less important is to keep an active dialogue with that new generation of Russian and American young experts and students.”

Among all its activities, PIR Center emphasizes maintaining US-Russian dialogue and encouraging young experts to work in the field of nonproliferation. On the margins of the Geneva Prepcom, PIR Center in collaboration with Centre russe d'études politiques (Geneva, Switzerland) and James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies of the Monterey Institute of International Studies (Monterey, US) will organize a seminar on the topic of “U.S.-Russian Dialogue on the NPT Review Process: Ideas from Next Generation”. Both experienced and young specialists from Russia and the United States will discuss how to narrow the gap between the two countries and help them find a solution to two major issues for the current NPT review process: disarmament agenda and a WMD-free zone in the Middle East.

Moreover, PIR Center embarked on a 3-year educational initiative “Young Specialists in the NPT Review Process.” At the initial stage of this project, PIR Center, with support of the Gorchakov Foundation, conducted an essay contest for participation in the Geneva PrepCom as part of PIR Center’s delegation. The Gorchakov Foundation supported three young experts who will take part in both the Prepcom and the US-Russian seminar on the NPT Review Process by presenting their ideas on the possibility of a convergence of the US and Russian views on nuclear nonproliferation.

Continuing the development of its educational program, PIR Center published a 10-year action plan on promotion of disarmament and nonproliferation education. The plan was presented in a joint article of PIR Center’s Founder and Special Advisor Vladimir Orlov and “Russia and Nuclear Nonproliferation” Program Director Adlan Margoev “Recommendations of the 2002 Study: Where we stand now and where we should go further, including ideas for the next 10 years” published in the UNODA “Occasional Paper.”

For questions related to PIR Center’s “Russia and Nuclear Nonproliferation” program, you can contact the Program Director, Adlan Margoev, by phone +7 (495) 987 19 15 or via email margoev at pircenter.org

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