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  • Position : Deputy Minister
  • Affiliation : The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
  • Affiliation : Distinguished Visiting Scholar at the CNS; Payne Distinguished Lecturer at the CISAC; Research Fellow at the Hoover Institution
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The Security Index Occasional Paper Series came out with a paper "Keeping peace in the nuclear era: why Washington and Moscow must extend the New START Treaty" by Anatoly Antonov and Rose Gottemoeller

29.04.2020

MOSCOW. APRIL 29, 2020. PIR PRESS. The Security Index Occasional Paper Series came out with a paper "Keeping peace in the nuclear era: why Washington and Moscow must extend the New START Treaty" by Anatoly Antonov and Rose Gottemoeller

Key findings:

  • After a decade of implementation, the constructive role that New START plays in maintaining the bilateral nuclear balance is clear. New START has brought verifiable and transparent reductions in nuclear arms.
  • New START also plays an important role in bolstering mutual transparency and predictability, since we built into the treaty principles of equality and a balance of interests. Its verification regime is reciprocal and highly effective.
  • If New START is not extended, 2021will mark the start of a period of unpredictability. Most consequential, each side’s understanding of the other’s strategic nuclear arsenals will diminish, and a trust deficit will quickly grow. As each party understands less, the two powers will be forced into more worst-case planning.
  • Predictability in military affairs is of particular importance at this moment. At a time when the world needs strength, confidence, and a spirit of cooperation to recover from a pandemic, the United States and Russia can help lead the way. There would be no better way of conveying this message than the extension of New START.

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