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«The outcome of the contradiction or dualism in the incoming Trump administration between, on the one hand, the realists who want a better relationship with Russia and a prioritization of the struggle against terrorism, and on the other, the rightwing hawks who want to push back against Iran and China», – Dayan Jayatilleka (Sri Lanka), member of PIR Center International Expert Group, expert and diplomat.  


“I’m glad to pass the baton to a new team today, the team who made this issue and is already preparing the next one.  A part of this team grew up within the PIR Center’s walls, and another is entirely new. At the head of this team stands Olga Mostinskaya – the new Editor-in-Chief of Security Index, whom I present with pleasure to our readers today, and to whom I wish creative motivation and insightful dialogue with our wonderful authors and demanding (which is great!) readers.” – Member of the Security Index Editorial Board Vladimir Orlov.


“The pessimistic scenario leaves open the beginning of a war between Russia and Ukraine, and even further clashes between Russia and NATO. Such turn of events is possible, if the Ukrainian war party decides to solve the problem of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk republics by force, or if the rebels resume hostilities in an attempt to break the economic blockade. In any of these scenarios, it will be difficult for Russia to maintain the position of a neutral observer, especially if the question arises about the military defeat of the self-proclaimed republics”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky.


Events in Ukraine have had indirect impact on the security situation in Central Asia. There are speculation and alarmist theories on the possibility of similar events in the republics of the region. The weakening of the already shaky foundations of the CIS due to Ukrainian events and absence of Petro Poroshenko from the Commonwealth summit in Minsk strengthened those tensions”, – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge"), Farhad Tolipov.


“India has recently blocked the WTO agreement on trade facilitation. The position of New Delhi is primarily shaped by the issue of subsidies for food production. India has adopted a so-called Right to Food act. In accordance with the law, the government must provide the Indian poor with a minimum amount of food. The norms of the WTO suggest that India should abandon the food subsidies. However, the country cannot do this not only for economic but also for political reasons. Abolishing this law in the near future would be a political suicide for any government”, – Vice President, Observer Research Foundation Nandan Unnikrishnan.



“The new detente between the governments of India and Pakistan has been positive. The attacks by the Pakistani Taliban and the counteroffensive by the Pakistani armed forces may mean a reduction in the gap between Indian and Pakistani threat perceptions with regards to Afghanistan after the US withdrawal. This may make a joint approach feasible”, – former Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo, Amb. Dayan Jayatilleka.


“The elections results have made it more likely that Erdogan is going to present himself as a candidate for the presidency. The big question is if a candidate with a serious chance of denying Erdogan the presidency will present himself; recently, the chief justice of the Constitutional Court has emerged as a contender. Hasim Kilic is a religious conservative like Erdogan, and he would enjoy the support of the Gülenists, but it is unlikely that he would win against Erdogan, if the latter is indeed a candidate”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.


“The diplomatic containment in Geneva of a potentially dangerous situation between the West and Russia over Ukraine; the continued commitment to a diplomatic resolution of the Iranian nuclear issue and the non-abandonment of the search for a diplomatic and political solution to the crisis in Syria, have had a positive impact on the region. All these positives have involved the rational approach and realistic diplomacy of Russia's Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov”, - former Ambassador, Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo, Dayan Jayatilleka.


“The ongoing attempt at regime change in Ukraine can retard the progress in US-Russia relations which is the main axis of efforts at diplomatic solutions to conflict situations in several areas, most especially the Middle East”, – Ambassador Dayan Jayatilleka, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo former Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva.


“Among the negative events which influenced the security situation in South Asia should be mentioned the incident on Indian- Pakistani border. Pakistan's special units were accused by Deli of killing an Indian soldier. On the top of that we should put nomination of a controversial figure Narendra Modi as BJP candidate for Prime Minister in the run-up to Indian elections in April-May 2014 and the annulment by the Maldivian Supreme Court of the results of the presidential  elections”,  – Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo, Ambassador Dayan Jayatilleka.