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“Egypt is on the verge of civil war. There are no reasons to count on possibility that the Muslim Brotherhood will yeld the power, which was gained democratically. After decades of prohibition it is hardly possible. Following the first shock of the rapid disposal of Mohammed Mursi by the military authorities, the Islamists began to rebound and already declare their readiness to defend their rights by force of arms”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant-General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky. 


“Overall the lesson to draw is that the Arab spring has not brought reconciliation and settlement in some Arab states and some have contributed to continuing regional instability, like Libya. This underlines the general conclusion: there is no easy transition from corrupt dictatorial or authoritarian regimes in the short run. Also there is one thing that connects the Arab spring case: it is the insistence on holding to power and not being ready to relinquish it”, - Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy, Pál Dunay.


“If a new element emerges in strategic plans of the United States, for example implying replacement of nuclear capabilities with conventional missiles that can fulfill the same tasks as the nuclear weapons –it would be rather difficult for us to think about further reductions. Taking into account such compensation in conventional arms, the negotiations for the next treaty on nuclear disarmament would hardly be the right step to make,” – PIR Center Advisory Board Member, Deputy Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Anatoly Antonov


“Among the major and most serious threats coming from Afghanistan are religious extremism, terrorism, and conflict escalation. But the greatest problem to Central Asia is drug trafficking. The issue of drug trafficking in Afghanistan is directly related to the internal situation in the country and the survival of Afghans after military devastation. More than 30% of the drugs in the world are produced in Afghanistan. Most of them are transported through the territory of Central Asia, then in Russia and Europe. Only 10% of the total drug traffic delivered from IRA can be seized on the borders. The bulk of the drugs reaches their consumers”, - director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge"), Farhad Tolipov.


“Because of the effectively weakening military-strategic partnership, the USA has launched a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership with the European Union. This may well be a recognition of the fact that the future relationship between the USA and Western Europe will focus more on economic aspects rather than on military matters. This will be particularly noticeable after the significant reduction of the foreign military presence in Afghanistan”, - Pál Dunay, Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy.


“As the recent round of conflict between Israel and Hamas illustrated, it is in fact possible to keep this conflict from getting out of hand. The change of regime in Egypt has had a positive impact in this respect; the close ties between the Muslim Brotherhood regime in Cairo and its sister organization Hamas has replaced the alliance between Hamas and Iran; with Egypt's return as the most important regional player in the Middle East, Iran's influence - and its potential to disrupt security - has been reduced”, - Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.


“The instability in a number of post-Arab Spring countries, including Libya and Egypt have demonstrated that the resolution of the hot phase of conflict does not result in the stability desired and does not bring about change that is clearly showing in the direction of lasting settlement. This is a contributing factor of doubt concerning a conclusive resolution of the Syrian conflict. The hesitation of many states stems from the fact nobody knows whether Syria under the leadership of the current opposition forces would be better governed than now”, - Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy, Pál Dunay.


“More due to the fact that the five nuclear-weapon states is clearly reluctant to use nuclear wepons and some of the others (declared or not) are dependent upon one of the P5, the U.S.A. or China in a variety of ways. Some time the dependence is related to nuclear release, some time it is due to a much broader array of matters that create dependency. Accidental use has also become less likely since the high-flying concerns of loose nukes in the 1990s”, - Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy, Pál Dunay.


Vladivostok APEC summit chaired by Russia was a positive event. Despite the different views expressed before and after the summit, it was quite effective. The main achievement of the summit is that Russia has sent a clear signal of its willingness to strengthen political and economic ties in the Asia-Pacific, both on multilateral and bilateral basis”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky (Russia).


“As far as for Syria crisis, it is necessary to mention some starting assumptions. Syria, contrary to Libya, is an institutionalized dictatorship where a large portion of the population of the country was not living under any rule other than the Assad family. Due to the experience of Libya there was no determination for direct military intervention in Syria”, - Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy, Pál Dunay.