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10.05.2016

Russia is following all of the developments in Afghanistan with great attention.  In recent years, this attentiveness was supplemented by the readiness to engage with anyone who is interested in talking rather than shooting.  At the same time, Russia does not accept any obligations.  It is like a visit to a museum; you look at everything with great attention, but you do not touch.  Some people might say that this is a passive position, others – that the position lacks responsibility.  However, I believe that there is a certain logic in it. Intervening and leaving the job half-done is worse, than not intervening at all.” – Dr. Ivan Safranchuk, member of the PIR Center Advisory Board.

06.05.2015

“Currently and in the foreseeable future there is no reason to expect a Taliban victory in Afghanistan and the establishment of its power in the north of the country.   Accordingly, there is a possibility of a massive invasion from there to Central Asia.  Haphazard interventions by small jihadist factions into countries of the region should obviously not be excluded, but they do not constitute the real threat to the ruling regimes and are easily neutralized by their armies.  Most likely, rather, the succession crises in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan serve as the only causes of regional destabilization, but to judge their future effects is not possible,” –Security Index journal editorial board member, Yuri Fedorov.  

29.04.2015

The new issue of Security Index journal offers several predictions for the development of international security. First of all, during the round table "Russia, challenges to its security and answers: expectations for 2014 and reality–2015"  Dmitry Trenin, Dmitry Evstafiev, Armen Oganesyan, Vadim Kozyulin and Andrei Suzdaltsev, someone a year ago, someone a little more – have given us their predictions about what threats and challenges Russia will face and how she will react to them. And now in the spring of 2015, they don't just look at their own predictions of that absolutely unpredictable year, but also offer their views in 2015.   

03.04.2015

If we are negotiating with the West that does not mean that our position regarding western dominance and interference in the Middle East has changed. Iran is not willing to give up its independent politics for any price. Iran’s eight-year resistance during a forcible war and its firmness in the question of peaceful use of nuclear energy are examples of such an Iranian approach. Resistance and evasion of sanctions are a witness to the independence of Iran. If Iran were to rely on the West, then we could not endure western pressure,” –  Seyed Alinaghi (Kamal) Kharrazi, the Head of the Strategic Council of Public Relations under the administration of the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 

26.02.2015

 “It is especially important for those interested in peace in Central Asia to demonstrate willingness and ability to make a sharp rebuff of any manifestations of instability. It is critical to state that opening a new front of global jihad and of global war on terrorism in Central Asia will not succeed; the countries of the region will not allow it. However, such a message can only be made convincing and effective by, first, actually realizing the entirety of the imminent danger in the region and by, secondly, using combined forces,” Associate Professor of MGIMO University of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Ivan Safranchuk.

26.01.2015

The latest issue of the Security Index journal is partly devoted to the development of the global nuclear energy sector and nuclear infrastructure. Against the backdrop of the oil-and-gas needle and amid the continued devaluation of the Russian currency, the Russian nuclear energy sector seems to offer what may well be the only tangible, comprehensive, and carefully thought-out answer to economic upheavals. This particular branch of the Russian high-tech sector is not a prototype but a working engine.

23.12.2014

“After the withdrawal of the majority of ISAF troops from Afghanistan and the election of a new president Ashraf Ghani, new military and political situation has started to form in the country. To certain extent, this uncertainty is alarming for the Central Asian republics. Intra-regional agenda in 2015 will be determined by the rapid institutionalization of the Eurasian Union, which has already resulted in freezing the discussions on Central Asian integration as a tool for solving the regional problems”,  – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge") Farhad Tolipov.

25.11.2014

“The west and Russia have made some efforts to avoid a spill-over to certain global threats and risks. However, this has remained somewhat inconsistent. Cooperation has been retained in countering terrorism, whereas Russia has suspended its participation in the preparation of the fourth nuclear security summit”, – Director of OSCE Academy in Bishkek, Dr. Pal Dunay.    

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

05.11.2014

Events in Ukraine have had indirect impact on the security situation in Central Asia. There are speculation and alarmist theories on the possibility of similar events in the republics of the region. The weakening of the already shaky foundations of the CIS due to Ukrainian events and absence of Petro Poroshenko from the Commonwealth summit in Minsk strengthened those tensions”, – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge"), Farhad Tolipov.

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