International Security Index iSi



The Security Index Occasional Paper Series Publishes Policy Memo " If the New START Treaty Expires With No Extension:Scenarios For Russia" image

The memo presents possible scenarios should the New START Treaty expire without extension. Special attention is being paid to confidence building measures to implement without a treaty-like legal basis. The memo also considers the build-up potential of strategic nuclear forces of Russia and the US.



"As a follow-up to my Memos dated March 27, 2020, April 10, 2020, April 24, 2020 and May 12, 2020, I hereby declare the extension of the remote work mode until June 11, 2020 inclusive, due to the persistence of the complex epidemiological situation in Moscow", – Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Director of PIR Center.


«The circumstances in which the whole world has found itself today have changed, but the importance of nuclear nonproliferation issues and U.S.-Russia dialogue on the NPT review process continues to bring together both young and major experts. I am very glad that modern technologies help us in this. Could anyone predict a year ago, at the last meeting of the working group, that the Review Conference would be rescheduled? Hardly. But this gives us time, and by “us” I mean Russia, the USA and the whole nonproliferation community, time to think creatively about how we can better prepare for it. And our Track 2.5 meetings are devoted to exactly such ideas, fresh and bright, from the next generation of experts», – Director of PIR Center, Head of the Center for Global Trends and International Organizations at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Federation, Professor at MGIMO University, Co-Chair of the working group Dr. Vladimir Orlov

Topics for MA theses

Tentative MA theses topics 

 for the MGIMO-PIR-MIIS Dual Degree Program on

Nonproliferation Studies

1. U.S.-Russia Collaboration on the NPT Extension in 1995: Lessons Learned and Policy Recommendations for the NPT Review Process.

2. US-Soviet/Russian Cooperation on Proliferation Prevention: A Case Study and Lessons Learned [Options: a) Iraq; b) Libya; c) DPRK; d) Syria.]

3. Ensuring a Sustainable and Long-term Solution to Risks Related with Further Development of the Iranian Nuclear Program.

4. Effectiveness of Sanctions as a Tool of Nonproliferation Policy: Historical Cases and Lessons Learned.

5. Multilateral Diplomacy for Addressing Proliferation Concerns: Challenges and Solutions.

6. Addressing the Risk of Missile Technology Proliferation Through Transparency Measures and Multilateral Arms Control. The Potential of the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR).

7. Prospects for International Cooperation on Addressing Cyber Threats to Civil Nuclear Facilities.

8. Prospects for Dialogue on Nuclear Nonproliferation, Arms Control and Strategic Stability between Russia/the United States and China.

9. Prospects for Dialogue on Nuclear Nonproliferation, Arms Control and Strategic Stability between Russia, the United States, and China.

10. The Future of the P5 as a Collective Framework for Addressing Nuclear Threats

11. Updating the Concept of Strategic Stability and Identifying Key Parameters of Future Arms Control.

12. Criteria of Success for the NPT Review Process: Lessons Learned from the 2010 and 2015 NPT RevCons and Looking into the 2020 RevCon.

13. Improving the Mechanisms and Increasing the Efficiency of the NPT Review Process: Ideas for the 2025 NPT Review Cycle.

14. Nuclear Nonproliferation Policy and Nuclear Risks in [options, choose one: a) Brazil; b) Japan; c) South Korea; d) Egypt; e) Indonesia]: a Case Study.

15. Platform for a Constructive Dialogue Between Nuclear-Weapon States and Non-Nuclear-Weapon States on Article 6 of the NPT? 

16. Assessing Nuclear Security Threats in [a) Central Asia; b) South Asia; c) the Middle East; d) ASEAN Region].

17. Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula: the Role of Bilateral US-DPRK Dialogue and Involvement of Regional Stakeholders.

18. Negative Security Assurances as a Contribution to Nuclear Nonproliferation: Case-Studies and Lessons for the Future.

19. Impact of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons on the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime.

20. Outer Space Regulation: Prospects for Peaceful Exploration and Prevention of Arms Race.

21. IAEA Safeguards: Current Challenges and Potential Ways of Transformation

22. Addressing Proliferation Risks Related to Nuclear Fuel Cycle.

23. Peaceful Nuclear Energy Development in the [options, choose one: a) Middle East; b) South-East Asia; c) Europe; d) Latin America; e) Africa].

24. Developing an International Dialogue on Nuclear Security.

25. Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism: Current Challenges, New Technologies, and New Solutions.

26. Ways to Unblock Multilateral Disarmament Processes and Improve its Machinery.