Chronology

The UN Security Council adopts Resolution №1172 to condemn the India and Pakistan nuclear tests.
06.06.1998

International Security Index iSi

PIR PRESS LOGO

PIR PRESS NEWS

05.06.2020

“The call of the Global Times chief editor Hu Xijin to increase the Chinese nuclear arsenal to 1000 warheads and put into service 100 DF-41 ICBMs caused a heated debate in the expert community. According to Xijin, the size of deterrence forces on a daily basis determines the attitude of American elites to China. He later explained that the threshold of 1,000 warheads is just a guideline. “If the United States continues to believe that China has only a few hundred warheads at its disposal, it will be dangerous for China” - this is the leitmotiv of the 523rd issue of Yaderny Kontrol.

The Security Index Occasional Paper Series Publishes Policy Memo " If the New START Treaty Expires With No Extension:Scenarios For Russia" image
01.06.2020

The memo presents possible scenarios should the New START Treaty expire without extension. Special attention is being paid to confidence building measures to implement without a treaty-like legal basis. The memo also considers the build-up potential of strategic nuclear forces of Russia and the US.

 

29.05.2020

"As a follow-up to my Memos dated March 27, 2020, April 10, 2020, April 24, 2020 and May 12, 2020, I hereby declare the extension of the remote work mode until June 11, 2020 inclusive, due to the persistence of the complex epidemiological situation in Moscow", – Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Director of PIR Center.

Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons

In recent years the US/NATO has sought Russian agreement to increase transparency on Russian NSNWs in the European part of the country and relocate these weapons away from the territory of NATO member states; and Russia, in its part, has insisted on the complete withdrawal of the U.S. NSNWs from Europe. But this endless circle does not promise much room for negotiations.

At the same time, among these demands – withdrawal, relocating and transparency – only the latter is potentially attainable in the near future. While possible decisions upon withdrawal or relocating refer to military domain where a corresponding agreement is rather unachievable at the current stage, transparency is a matter of trust building and thus a matter of political will. Hence, the possibility to reach a political agreement on NSNW transparency between US/NATO and Russia still remains.

PIR Center's Project is aimed at analyzing the current position of Russia, the United States and other NATO countries on the NSNW arms control issue and associated problems. The project also examines how the forward-deployed U.S. NSNWs in Europe affect the perception of the NSNW issue in the military-political leadership of Russia.

Publications:

1. On the Issue of Nonstrategic (Tactical) Nuclear WeaponsRussia Confidential, N3, 2012

2. The Future of Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons in Europe: there are some options (in Russian)Indeks Bezopasnosti, № 3-4 (102-103), 2012

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