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2010, №90, Security Index

Security Index image
Issue: №90


Russian Journal on International Security

No. 1 (90), Winter 2010


“Dots over “I”s.” In his Editorial, Vladimir Orlov speaks about the possible solution to the crisis over the Iranian nuclear program and assumes that there is still a chance to come to an agreement. He praises the patient position of the United States and expects that one of the stumbling blocks would be the policy of Israel, which should also be put under pressure on the eve of the 2010 NPT Review Conference.


Sergey Kislyak, “Resetting US-Russian Relations also Means Killing old Viruses that Have Been Poisoning Dialogue”.  Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation to the United States of America Sergey Kislyak is a good friend of the PIR Center and one of the contributors to our journal. This time editor-in-chief of the Security Index journal Vladimir Orlov and Sergey Kislyak met in California, in Monterey. The Russian ambassador visited this nonproliferation capital of the United States to speak to the students and professors of the Monterey Institute of International Studies and the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies. The discussion was held by William Potter, CNS Director and PIR Center's Executive Board member.

Key words: US-Russian relations, nuclear disarmament, resetting dialogue.

Jean de Gliniasty, “Every Nation Must Contribute to Nuclear Disarmament.” Nuclear disarmament is not the exclusive domain of the United States and Russia. Active participation of other members of the nuclear five is an important issue on the international agenda. France's traditionally independent stance could give a new impetus to nuclear disarmament - or hold it back. French ambassador to Moscow Jean de Gliniasty spells out the French position in the new international environment.

Key words: NPT Review Conference, nuclear disarmament, multilateral approaches.


Roland Timerbaev,Fissile Material Cutoff: New Chances for the New Life.” For many decades, the international community has viewed a ban on production of nuclear weapons-usable fissile materials as a truly significant step that would bring the world closer to the dual goal of strengthening the nonproliferation regime and eliminating nuclear weapons. Ambassador Roland Timerbaev, who chairs the PIR Center Executive Board, looks at the history of the fissile material cutoff debate and offers commentary on some of the initiatives in the area.

Key words: fissile material cutoff, nonproliferation regime.

Natalia Kalinina and Vadim Kozyulin, “Russia's Defense Industry: Feet of Clay.” Russian experts assess the real state of affairs in the national defense industry based on official figures, statistics and indirect evidence, look at the existing risks and opportunities, and offer their forecast for the next few years.

Key words: Russian defense industry, military and technical cooperation.


“Multilateral Approaches to Nuclear Disarmament: Planning the Next Steps.Nuclear disarmament is one of the hot topics today. The more it is negotiated, the more there is the understanding that nuclear disarmament is a multilateral process, which should involve different actors and different aspects. At present, there are certain items on the short-term agenda – the strategic offensive arms reduction treaty between Russia and the United States, the 2010 NPT Review Conference, the CTBT ratification, etc. What's next? Which other steps should be taken to promote nuclear disarmament? What are the limits of the possible? These questions are addressed by the participants of the round table discussion.

Key words: NPT Review Conference, nuclear disarmament, multilateral approaches.


Vladimir Voronkov, “The European Security Treaty After Corfu.” The unofficial ministerial meeting on the island of Corfu, which was convened by Greece as the rotating chair of the OSCE, has been an important milestone in the implementation of President Medvedev's proposal on a new European security treaty. The author looks at the ways of building new European security architecture and promoting the Russian initiative.

Key words: European security, Russia-EU relations, Russian initiative.

Oksana Skopich, “Israel and Latin America: Brothers in Arms.” “In the military-political context, cooperation between Israel and Latin America has several effects, not all of them uniformly positive. Such cooperation strengthens the defense industries of Latin American countries, and better military technology helps them in their fight against terrorism and crime. However, there is the danger of Israeli military equipment and technology falling into the hands of armed groups and crime syndicates, which threatens stability in the region. Like many Western countries, Israel does not pay sufficient attention to controls over arms exports, especially with regard to re-exports of Israeli arms to third countries. There is a clear need for new controls over arms exports,” maintains the author.

Key words: Israel, Latin America, military and technical cooperation.


The iSi index – a comprehensive index of international security. Members of the International Expert Group – Konstantin von Eggert, Dayan Jayatilleka, Andrey Kortunov, and Abdulaziz Sager– comment the events.

Yury Fedorov, A View by a Russian Liberal: “Never Before, All over Again.” “While Russian and American negotiators are aping their Cold War predecessors, a huge storm is looming in the Far and Middle East. Another distinct possibility is a new war in the Caucasus, which would lead to Russia's isolation - though such an outcome would actually be welcomed by those who are working on the restoration of Stalinism. Washington still has not figured out that the war in Afghanistan cannot be won, and the longer the U.S. troops stay there, the harder the Afghan syndrome will be. If people at the helm of the leading democracies fail to realize the need for a deep change of political strategy, what now seems a historical farce will turn into a new historical tragedy.”

Dmitry Evstafiev, A View by a Russian Conservative: “Global Agenda: Emerging from the Fog of Crisis.” “In most of the developments that have been shaping the international relations and global security agenda in recent months, Russia has been quite irrelevant. It has found itself outside the global context. And were it not for the Soviet nuclear arms potential (the only Russian contribution to that potential, the notorious Bulava missile, is failing to deliver) this irrelevance would have been complete and totally hopeless,” maintains Evstafiev.


Alexander Morogov, “Development of Japan's Energy Security System.” The author analyzes how Japan managed to overcome the devastating consequences of the 1973 energy crisis and diversified its supplies. Besides, he considers the role of Russia in the maintenance of the Japanese energy security mechanisms.

Key words: energy security, Japan, 1973 energy crisis.


Dr. Vladimir Orlov. The Roots of the Poppy. Withdrawal Symptoms in the Golden Triangle: A Drugs Market in Disarray. Transnational Institute (TNI) Report. Amsterdam, January 2009. Martin Jelsma, Tom Kramer and Pietje Vervest, eds. Trouble in the Triangle: Opium and Conflict in Burma. (Bangkok: Silkworm Books, 2005), 231 p.; Yekaterina Stepanova. The role of the drugs trade in the political economy of conflicts and terrorism (Moscow: Ves Mir, 2005), 312 p.; Yekaterina Stepanova. Addressing drugs and conflicts in Myanmar: who will support alternative development? SIPRI Policy Brief (SIPRI, June 2009), 8 p.

Key words: Golden Triangle, drugs market, conflict in Birma.

Konstantin von Eggert, “Heroes or Villains? Terrorism in the 1970s as Seen from Today.” "The book by Stefan Aust is written as a historical account, but it remains very topical in this day and age. The author tries to be honest with himself and with his past, and therefore he does not try to conceal a certain degree of sympathy with the leftist movement of the 1960s, or his skepticism about the German law-enforcement system. But being a professional journalist, he honestly recounts the facts. And these facts inevitably lead to the conclusion that in the end, bloodshed had become not just an end in itself for the RAF, but also a perverted form of personal fulfillment,” argues Konstantin von Eggert.

Key words: terrorism, European security, Germany.





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