International Security Index iSi

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28.12.2018

“How can people escape from a well-trodden path in their journey? It’s actually quite simple: they just need to veer off from the beaten track. Whenever I travel with companions – preferably locals – who help me on my own journeys, my recipe is to convince them that the beaten track is not for us. Ideally, our own path should lead to the deepest, darkest forest… That’s the kind of forest I like best. It’s a synonym of freedom for me.” – PIR Center Founder and Special Advisor Vladimir Orlov.

12.12.2018

“MGIMO and MIIS students organize online seminars since 2015 but this is the first time when such discussion is moderated by two think-tanks. To establish a sustainable dialogue between Russia and the United States on nuclear nonproliferation it is essential to train a new generation of specialists in this field,” – PIR Center’s “Russia and Nuclear Nonproliferation” Program Director Adlan Margoev.

26.11.2018

“I had already had the intellectual awakening, about the details of nuclear weapons and the nuclear threat, from all the top experts. But did not know what it felt like in my gut—until I went through those 38 minutes.  Even with everything I knew about nuclear war, and nuclear weapons, and Hiroshima, and fallout, and nuclear winter, nuclear war was unimaginable to me—until I went through these 38 minutes”, Founder of NuclearWakeUpCall.Earth and documentary filmmaker Cynthia Lazaroff.

International Security Index iSi


THE DOW JONES OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITY

What is iSi? - The International Security Index (iSi) is a comprehensive index of the level of international security developed by the PIR Center through a project that has been ongoing for over a year. The project is currently undergoing an international assessment. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal”  (assumed as 4210 points according to our methodology) at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are effecting international security.

How is iSi calculated? - The most important characteristics of iSi are its comprehensiveness, robustness, and clarity. A great number of the factors that directly effect international security are reflected in iSi in a concentrated form. They include: the threat of global nuclear war, the number and intensity of local conflicts, the type of political relations between various countries and international organizations, the intensity and scale of terrorist activity, the stability of the global economy, and the threat posed by man-made catastrophes and epidemics. The aim of iSi is to provide quantitative indicators that reflect the dynamics of trends in international security. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal” at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are affecting international security.  More details on iSi methodology is availabla here.

What is International expert group (INTEG) for? - The PIR Center's monthly calculation of iSi is accompanied by interviews with our International Expert Group, which includes representatives from Russia, Argentina, Brazil, China, France, Hungary, India, Saudi Arabia, Sweden the United States and Uzbekistan. The evaluations of these experts in no way influence the calculation of the Index. Nevertheless, they make it possible for us to see how our calculations are viewed in a given month and, in particular, the dynamics of iSi over the course of several months at a time, in various regions of the world.

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