Chronology

The UN Security Council adopts Resolution №1172 to condemn the India and Pakistan nuclear tests.
06.06.1998

International Security Index iSi

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PIR PRESS NEWS

05.06.2020

“The call of the Global Times chief editor Hu Xijin to increase the Chinese nuclear arsenal to 1000 warheads and put into service 100 DF-41 ICBMs caused a heated debate in the expert community. According to Xijin, the size of deterrence forces on a daily basis determines the attitude of American elites to China. He later explained that the threshold of 1,000 warheads is just a guideline. “If the United States continues to believe that China has only a few hundred warheads at its disposal, it will be dangerous for China” - this is the leitmotiv of the 523rd issue of Yaderny Kontrol.

The Security Index Occasional Paper Series Publishes Policy Memo " If the New START Treaty Expires With No Extension:Scenarios For Russia" image
01.06.2020

The memo presents possible scenarios should the New START Treaty expire without extension. Special attention is being paid to confidence building measures to implement without a treaty-like legal basis. The memo also considers the build-up potential of strategic nuclear forces of Russia and the US.

 

29.05.2020

"As a follow-up to my Memos dated March 27, 2020, April 10, 2020, April 24, 2020 and May 12, 2020, I hereby declare the extension of the remote work mode until June 11, 2020 inclusive, due to the persistence of the complex epidemiological situation in Moscow", – Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Director of PIR Center.

International Security Index iSi


THE DOW JONES OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITY

What is iSi? - The International Security Index (iSi) is a comprehensive index of the level of international security developed by the PIR Center through a project that has been ongoing for over a year. The project is currently undergoing an international assessment. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal”  (assumed as 4210 points according to our methodology) at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are effecting international security.

How is iSi calculated? - The most important characteristics of iSi are its comprehensiveness, robustness, and clarity. A great number of the factors that directly effect international security are reflected in iSi in a concentrated form. They include: the threat of global nuclear war, the number and intensity of local conflicts, the type of political relations between various countries and international organizations, the intensity and scale of terrorist activity, the stability of the global economy, and the threat posed by man-made catastrophes and epidemics. The aim of iSi is to provide quantitative indicators that reflect the dynamics of trends in international security. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal” at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are affecting international security.  More details on iSi methodology is availabla here.

What is International expert group (INTEG) for? - The PIR Center's monthly calculation of iSi is accompanied by interviews with our International Expert Group, which includes representatives from Russia, Argentina, Brazil, China, France, Hungary, India, Saudi Arabia, Sweden the United States and Uzbekistan. The evaluations of these experts in no way influence the calculation of the Index. Nevertheless, they make it possible for us to see how our calculations are viewed in a given month and, in particular, the dynamics of iSi over the course of several months at a time, in various regions of the world.

Read full project description

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