Experts

  • Position : Chairman of the Executive Board; Chairman of the "Trialogue" Club International
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
  • Position : Analyst
  • Affiliation : Institute for International Studies MGIMO University
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President Putin Suggests to Hold P5 Leaders Summit

10.03.2020

On January 23 President Putin suggested to hold a summit of P-5 leaders “in whatever country, in whatever part of the world, which is convenient for colleagues”. The meeting is aimed at discussing the critical mass of challenges in various fields as well regional and global conflict potential so that the P-5 countries step in and put an end to the growth of this critical mass, Putin`s spokesperson Dmitriy Peskov says. The initiative is the leitmotiv of the 520th issue of Yaderny Control bulletin.

“The Treaty on the nonproliferation of nuclear weapons celebrates its 50th anniversary. After 50 years, the NPT is looking remarkably well for its age. It has survived the Cold War, the détentes, the Ice Ages, and other ups and downs in international relations without losing its integrity or crumbling into irrelevance. Only a handful of states still remain outside the Treaty. hat is undoubtedly a resounding success, and our planet is all the better for it. We are already plagued by such woes as global pandemics and climate change. Imagine for a second if we also had to contend with an uncontrolled spread of the most devastating weapons that ever existed, with more and more countries acquiring an instrument of total self-annihilation of the entire mankind. The few existing flashpoints, such as the Indo-Pakistani border and the Korean peninsula, are already giving us a nervous twitch. Just imagine how much worse it would get if we had dozens of such flashpoints! Would the world be more secure?”, Vladimir Orlov deliberates in his op-ed for Kommersant-Daily.

"The New START treaty is set to expire on February 5, 2021 and there is little doubt that it will be the end of it. It could be extended if both countries agree (they should express their intention to extend the treaty not later than September 2, 2020). Given the current tensions between the two countries, such an extension would be a practical way forward. However even this relatively straightforward step is in doubt. President Trump condemned New START as one of the “bad deals” negotiated under his predecessor (I’m sure that in view of a certain group of US politicians and experts the Treaty is “bad” because it does not contain special limitations for Russian MIRVed and heavy ICBMs). There are also forces in the United States that believe (for different reasons) it is not in the U.S. interests to participate in the START", - Lieutenant-General (retired), Chairman of the PIR Center's Executive Board Evgeny Buzhinskiy.

“Even without New START or a new formal treaty, the United States and Russia can pursue measures that control nuclear weapons and reduce the risk of nuclear war. For example, instead of signing a formal moratorium on missile deployments in Europe, they could provide notifications when new weapons enter the force and develop confidence building measures that allow some level of certainty about the range and payload of new missiles. In the absence of formal limits on the numbers and types of launchers for strategic nuclear weapons, they could exchange data similar to that required by New START and offer transparency into future plans for the development of new weapons. These types of measure would not replicate the predictability of binding limits, but they might reduce uncertainties and minimize the risk of worst-case assessments.”, Amy Woolf posits.

The issue is available via the link. The subscription form and the archive since 2000 are accessible at the bulletin webpage.

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