Select period

“If suddenly Iran is out of enriched uranium and it isn’t able to provide us with it, we will be able to address to IAEA. It is like to borrow money in an ordinary bank: one cannot rely only on personal income and has to go to a bank from time to time. It’s a certain airbag, which would secure us if the fuel cycle or other things go wrong, for example, due to political reasons. The Middle East is a very turbulent place: today we’re friends, tomorrow there could be another situation,” - Mohammed Shaker, Chairman of Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs.


The new issue of Security Index journal offers several predictions for the development of international security. First of all, during the round table "Russia, challenges to its security and answers: expectations for 2014 and reality–2015"  Dmitry Trenin, Dmitry Evstafiev, Armen Oganesyan, Vadim Kozyulin and Andrei Suzdaltsev, someone a year ago, someone a little more – have given us their predictions about what threats and challenges Russia will face and how she will react to them. And now in the spring of 2015, they don't just look at their own predictions of that absolutely unpredictable year, but also offer their views in 2015.   


“The solution to the Iranian nuclear issue should not be reached at the expense of these countries’ interests. The security concerns of Iran’s neighbors should be addressed, though not in the comprehensive agreement itself. Providing security assurances to the region could also result in a more positive attitude towards the nuclear deal with Iran. At the same time, international efforts should be aimed at making sure that no country in the Middle East is facing a military threat from its neighbors, rather than playing into the narrative of the states aspiring to regional hegemony or special status” – PIR Center and Strategic Studies Network report “Iran in the Regional and Global Perspective”.


The latest issue of the Global edition of Security Index journal summarizes key events in the field of global security over the second half of 2014 and even looks further ahead to 2015. It focuses on the ups and downs of the nuclear nonproliferation pays attention to a coming milestone event – the 2015 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).


“The way the negotiations are going now is preferable by all parties – nobody wants a deal for time being. Economically: the sanctions might have hurt the Iranians to some degree, but they are living with them for a long time. They already have what I call “sanction generation” in the country right now, and nothing happened. It is a good thing if the sanctions are lifted or suspended for reasonable period; but they are not in a hurry. At the same time, the West is also not rushing to close the deal with the Iranians as there are too many unknown variables in the regional situation,” – Mustafa Fetouri, member of the PIR Center International Expert Group.


“The most powerful international terrorist organizations acting in the Middle East are looking for new ways of launching the terrorist attacks. They look for something different, which could have stronger influence on the global public opinion. A threat from terrorist armed with the weapons of mass destruction has transboundary and supra-regional character”, – PIR Center President Vladimir Orlov.


«The essence of the Iranian puzzle could be basically boiled down to four main questions: How the Iranian nuclear program should look like under the comprehensive agreement? What would be the optimal way of removing sanctions? What can be done to further engage Iran and the international community to provide verification and empower constructive forces on both sides? In what way the regional dynamics can help to reach a sustainable agreement with Iran?», - PIR Center's “Russia and Nuclear Nonproliferation” Program Coordinator Andrey Baklitskiy.


“Iran has great potential in the region because of very close relations with people of the Middle East. And we have announced that we are fully prepared to be helpful for the solution of the problems in the Middle East. We proved – this is part of history – that we could be very helpful when we all faced the problem of terrorism in Afghanistan. And everybody knows that while Iran was very helpful in that respect, instead of appreciating this, the Bush administration included Iran into the “Axis of Evil”. This kind of mentality shows that they do not care about what the countries are contributing, they just want influence. They occupied Iraq with the false pretext of the WMD and it is shameful that now they want this situation to be repeated”, - Ambassador Ali Asghar Soltanieh, Permanent Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the United Nations and other International Organizations in Vienna.


«Why don’t we internationalize, regionalize the Iranian sensitive technologies, and bring in Arab stakeholders? Iran will keep its initial facilities, but will have partners that will overlook the process and will be there on the board like in case of URENCO. This will have the advantage that we will be all watching each other but it will also imply the economy of scale and there will be no need for other countries to develop things that are already there», –  Mohamed Shaker, Chairman of Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs.


"Creation of a Zone Free of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East is inseparably linked to the ongoing Middle East peace process. Luckily there is a feedback as well: development of sustained dialogue on the Zone can in turn facilitate the Middle East peace process, leading to creation of favorable atmosphere for further negotiations" - Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation, Security Index Journal Editorial Board member Sergey Ryabkov.