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“Europe minus Russia: 12 months of new reality; and what about next 12 months?”  Vladimir Orlov gave a presentation at the Trialogue Club International meeting.


“It is clear that the CFE Treaty in its original form has lost its relevance, and Russia does not intend to return to it.  We either need a new agreement or a refusal of legally binding arms control instruments in favor of the development of confidence-building measures in the security field, as well as the enhancement of bilateral and multilateral military cooperation.” – Lieutenant General (in reserve) Evgeny Buzhinskiy, PIR Center Executive Board Chairman. 


“Predictability and transparency seem to be the most important factors to ensure security on the European continent. It seems to me that the idea of an open security space, founded on voluntary transparency through strengthening the mechanisms of bilateral and multilateral cooperation deserves serious consideration,” – PIR Center Senior Vice President Evgeny Buzhinsky.


“The formation of the opposition political parties in South Africa challenging the African National Congress (ANC) became the most important trend of the period. What is more important about these political parties is the fact that they are led by Africans and that some of its members were members of the ANC”, - Head of the Governance and Democracy research programme at the Africa Institute of South Africa Sehlare Makgetlaneng.


“Strategic and tactical interests of the European powers in Mali are some of the key issues that will have decisive impact on the security situation in the country. Mali has enormous natural resources such as gold, uranium and oil prospects. These resources are of vital importance to the operations of the economy and defense of the European powers which are key actors in the internal affairs of Mali and its neighbors”, - Head of the Governance and Democracy research program at the Africa Institute of South Africa, Sehlare Makgetlaneng.


“The negative trend of the period was associated with worsening of relations between Russia and the European Union due to the summit of the Eastern Partnership. If Moscow considers the agreement on associated membership in the EU, which Kiev intends to sign, an evil and goes the length of drastic exacerbation of relations with the European Union and Ukraine, the situation in the region will deteriorate. If opposite, the security situation would improve”, - Member of the Royal Institute of International Relations, Konstantin von Eggert.


“Air defense systems will sooner or later have to face aggressive, well-armed and resilient groups of drones. Thanks to their collective distributed intelligence, these groups will act as parts of a single whole. They will be able to analyze the situation to the same standard of accuracy as humans, only faster. Human operators may be part of their control systems, adding an element of creativity and unpredictability,” – writes PIR Center Senior Vice President Lieut.-Gen. (Ret.) Evgeny Buzhinsky in his article for Security Index journal.


“The choice made by the Iranian voters was a positive one and taken together with the events in Egypt, it shows that in the ‘ greater Middle east’ there are tendencies at the social level, among the popular masses, that indicate a turn away from dogmatic, authoritarian – populist Islamism. It will be good for Iran in general because the West will find it less easy to tighten the sanctions regime after this electoral outcome”, -  former Ambassador, Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo, Dayan Jayatilleka.


“Because of the effectively weakening military-strategic partnership, the USA has launched a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership with the European Union. This may well be a recognition of the fact that the future relationship between the USA and Western Europe will focus more on economic aspects rather than on military matters. This will be particularly noticeable after the significant reduction of the foreign military presence in Afghanistan”, - Pál Dunay, Head of the International Security Program of the Geneva Center for Security Policy.


“A distinctive feature of the current situation is that the majority of European states do not consider conventional arms a primary threat, one of the reasons that no new agreements have been reached. As a result, a number of Russia’s foreign partners suggest emphasizing potential cooperation on common European security rather than focusing on the threats,” – Oleg Shakirov, PIR Center Intern."