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25.02.2015

“Those who like it hot are unlikely to be disappointed by 2015. Different scenarios are still possible as far as the actual taste of it is concerned, but the aftertaste is not in any doubt. Hot and bitter contrasts sharply with icy-cold. What kind of heritage has the year 2014 left for us? Will it be chilly old peace, or a new Cold War?” – PIR Center Director Vladimir Orlov.

05.02.2015

"The evolution of the movement of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) serves not so much as an example of the fragmentation of al-Qaeda Central to regional elements (in a top-down mode) but rather as a manifestation of partly parallel, partly opposite process of transnationalization and regionalization of the radical Islamist groups,  previously focused on solving problems in a more limited local or regional context  (mostly in the bottom-up mode). These processes have led to the conversion of such a group into a full cross-border regional jihadist movement in some ways even more radical than the Al-Qaeda itself,"– member of the Editorial Board of the Security Index journal Ekaterina Stepanova.  

26.01.2015

The latest issue of the Security Index journal is partly devoted to the development of the global nuclear energy sector and nuclear infrastructure. Against the backdrop of the oil-and-gas needle and amid the continued devaluation of the Russian currency, the Russian nuclear energy sector seems to offer what may well be the only tangible, comprehensive, and carefully thought-out answer to economic upheavals. This particular branch of the Russian high-tech sector is not a prototype but a working engine.

23.01.2015

“The ability of international community to solve regional conflicts similar to the conflict in Ukraine will become a global security issue in 2015. The world learned to solve global issues: to maintain nuclear security, to combat climate change, but it still cannot settle regional conflicts. The crisis in Ukraine demonstrated that the global security system had for all this time existed within the Cold War paradigm,” – Nikolai Zlobin, President of the Center on Global Interests.

21.01.2015

«Not to kill is the message, and killing innocent people is something Islam and the rest of the world reject. The threat of terrorism to global security requires co-operation from all parties to counteract and there is need for dialogue in which others’ views are respected», – Sanad Ali Al Nuaimi, head of the Strategic Studies Center (Qatar).

16.12.2014

“Had the ISIS won in Kobane, the effects would have been catastrophic in Turkey: it would have ignited a popular Kurdish rebellion against the Erdogan regime which would have been held accountable for the fall of Kobane to ISIS by the Kurds of Turkey. Kobane stands as the symbol of the rise and empowerment of the Kurds in the Middle East, and its effects are going to reverberate in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and Iran in the coming years”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.   

10.12.2014

“The pessimistic scenario leaves open the beginning of a war between Russia and Ukraine, and even further clashes between Russia and NATO. Such turn of events is possible, if the Ukrainian war party decides to solve the problem of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk republics by force, or if the rebels resume hostilities in an attempt to break the economic blockade. In any of these scenarios, it will be difficult for Russia to maintain the position of a neutral observer, especially if the question arises about the military defeat of the self-proclaimed republics”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky.

       
09.12.2014

“Even if the upcoming review conference goes sour, it will not necessarily mean the collapse of the NPT. But even if in all hopes of staying away from excessive drama and the unnecessary letting-out of passions, I cannot help but notice that at the moment there are too many signs that a big blast is possible. Volcanoes sleep for a long time, and signs of recovery do not always mean the immediate beginning of an eruption. But if too many anxiety symptoms accumulate, one begins to think about evacuation and not about the fact that there might be a lot of drama and pathos in statements to the press,” – PIR Center Director, Vladimir Orlov.

02.12.2014

 

 

 

“Islamists in Afghanistan and Syria will not hand over their positions; US and allied states’ strikes against the Islamic state have not brought the expected results. Among the most positive developments of the period in the Middle East, it is worth noting the severe reaction of Israel and Egypt to the provocations of Islamists in their own territory. As events unfold in the Middle East, the situation will worsen due to the military expansion of the Islamists throughout the region,” - President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky.        

 

 

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

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